Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Has the market peaked?

Has the market peaked?

As an active personal investor in the stock market, this recent unprecedented rally is looking rather top heavy in my humble opinion. The markets have taken some good profits reported by most of the banks and used this as an impetus for rising. In addition, certain key data regarding unemployment in the US was more positive than expected. However, as a keen observer, markets always over-react to news - in a good and bad way.

My feeling it is doing this now too, and that the market is due some sort of correction soon. When? I have no crystal ball, but fundamentally the US and UK commercial and residential property market plus their economies are still weak, no matter how much money is pumped into the economy the fundamentals are still weak.

Unemployment is rising, banks are still hesitant to lend to small businesses, public spending is high...so fundamentally still many problems do exist. This rapid growth in the markets will no doubt come down with a bang very soon, in my humble opinion.

However, you can still make money in a downturn too - you just need to short the stocks or indices!

Happy investing and trading